Table 1 - Evaluation of 90% Prediction Intervals: First Factor Group

Table 1 - Evaluation of 90% Prediction Intervals: First Factor Group

NOTE: Bolding indicates ATRs that have counts falling outside the credible bounds.

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Mn/DOT ATR number Fifth percentile of predictive distribution Log total count 95th percentile of predictive distribution
2 12.2954 12.5539 12.5531
3 13.9783 14.1189 14.2267
7 12.2483 12.3857 12.4690
8 10.9598 11.3207 11.2912
9 11.8849 11.9756 12.1124
10 12.8934 13.0059 13.0748
12 13.1947 13.1813 13.4464
14 12.9814 13.0870 13.2310
50 13.4775 13.5663 13.6500
54 10.2983 10.5153 10.5339
56 11.4603 11.5531 11.6512
100 15.2954 15.4013 15.5066
102 16.4250 16.4932 16.6343
103 16.0997 16.1653 16.2748
104 15.2014 15.2137 15.2945
110 15.6586 15.7102 15.8464
164 13.8722 13.9628 14.0880
166 13.8270 13.8729 13.9741
170 13.8047 13.8419 13.9555
172 14.9882 15.1130 15.1175
179 13.0413 13.1812 13.2469
197 13.7666 13.8906 13.9826
199 12.4498 12.6153 12.6332
211 13.4673 13.5737 13.6714
213 14.0399 14.0975 14.1949
216 12.4219 12.5007 12.6338
217 11.9371 12.1674 12.1390
219 13.2525 13.2984 13.4746
225 12.0633 12.2808 12.3005
226 11.5859 11.7921 11.7918