Table 2 - Evaluation of 90% Prediction Intervals: Second Factor Group

Table 2 - Evaluation of 90% Prediction Intervals: Second Factor Group

NOTE: Bolding indicates ATRs that have counts falling outside the credible bounds.

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Mn/DOT ATR number Fifth percentile of predictive distribution Log total count 95th percentile of predictive distribution
52 11.4197 11.5725 11.6027
175 15.2607 15.3471 15.4842
187 14.9642 15.0832 15.2037
200 15.7115 15.8787 15.9226
204 14.0265 14.2724 14.2705
207 12.8435 12.9302 13.0395
208 14.8488 14.9436 14.9377
215 11.7087 11.8455 11.9711
218 11.5948 11.9728 11.8361
224 13.1007 13.2427 13.3437