Figure 10 Estimated KAB Crash Rates1 in Crashes per MVMT by County from Model 27: 1999

Figure 10
Estimated KAB Crash Rates1 in Crashes per MVMT by County from Model 27: 1999

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97.5 percentile, mean, and 2.5 percentile of the posterior density

TxDOT COUNTY # COUNTY NAME Longitude X Latitude Y 2.5 %ile Posterior Mean 97.5 %ile
1 ANDERSON -95.64440 31.81800 62 0.64 0.81
2 ANDREWS -102.63720 32.30450 54 0.16 0.25
3 ANGELINA -94.61810 31.24590 60 0.99 1.24
4 ARANSAS -97.00250 28.12800 58 0.53 0.85
5 ARCHER -98.68700 33.61510 61 0.34 0.49
6 ARMSTRONG -101.35700 34.96490 50 0.36 0.62
7 ATASCOSA -98.54150 28.87500 52 0.33 0.46
8 AUSTIN -96.25900 29.90680 61 0.57 0.74
9 BAILEY -102.82930 34.06850 53 0.19 0.31
10 BANDERA -99.25750 29.74130 68 0.60 0.82
11 BASTROP -97.31250 30.09790 61 0.61 0.81
12 BAYLOR -99.21300 33.61650 61 0.35 0.51
13 BEE -97.74820 28.40840 60 0.56 0.78
14 BELL -97.46090 31.03310 58 0.66 0.86
15 BEXAR -98.52150 29.44690 56 1.11 1.49
16 BLANCO -98.40370 30.27740 69 0.60 0.85
17 BORDEN -101.43090 32.74360 64 0.17 0.28
18 BOSQUE -97.62750 31.89690 61 0.33 0.45
19 BOWIE -94.44190 33.44210 53 0.47 0.63
20 BRAZORIA -95.43430 29.18250 51 0.57 0.89
21 BRAZOS -96.28660 30.66480 62 0.66 0.90
22 BREWSTER -103.27850 29.83060 73 0.27 0.40
23 BRISCOE -101.20800 34.53020 55 0.23 0.38
24 BROOKS -98.21770 27.03760 49 0.41 0.64
25 BROWN -99.00820 31.76830 64 0.55 0.75
26 BURLESON -96.62680 30.48860 65 0.66 0.87
27 BURNET -98.18920 30.80930 67 0.75 0.98
28 CALDWELL -97.62430 29.83350 61 0.80 1.05
29 CALHOUN -96.64620 28.50600 54 0.37 0.56
30 CALLAHAN -99.37270 32.29760 63 0.38 0.56
31 CAMERON -97.50660 26.12710 41 0.45 0.61
32 CAMP -94.98320 32.96900 54 0.53 0.78
33 CARSON -101.35360 35.40360 59 0.24 0.39
34 CASS -94.34370 33.07670 52 0.52 0.67
35 CASTRO -102.26110 34.53000 49 0.18 0.28
36 CHAMBERS -94.59290 29.75090 48 0.56 0.79
37 CHEROKEE -95.15420 31.84750 60 0.58 0.73
38 CHILDRESS -100.20730 34.52890 64 0.19 0.31
39 CLAY -98.21180 33.78370 60 0.34 0.49
40 COCHRAN -102.82790 33.60290 57 0.20 0.32
41 COKE -100.52930 31.88850 54 0.30 0.46
42 COLEMAN -99.45260 31.77430 60 0.32 0.45
43 COLLIN -96.57320 33.18650 54 0.75 0.95
44 COLLINGSWORTH -100.26950 34.96480 60 0.19 0.30
45 COLORADO -96.53030 29.62580 63 0.73 0.94
46 COMAL -98.27530 29.80380 59 0.62 0.97
47 COMANCHE -98.56570 31.93590 66 0.38 0.53
48 CONCHO -99.86480 31.32560 58 0.23 0.36
49 COOKE -97.22120 33.63370 55 0.38 0.51
50 CORYELL -97.79900 31.39080 61 0.41 0.59
51 COTTLE -100.27870 34.07840 65 0.16 0.27
52 CRANE -102.50060 31.43710 57 0.13 0.21
53 CROCKETT -101.39270 30.74370 75 0.22 0.34
54 CROSBY -101.29950 33.61440 49 0.37 0.56
55 CULBERSON -104.53130 31.46010 69 0.17 0.30
56 DALLAM -102.60150 36.27790 62 0.17 0.28
57 DALLAS -96.77780 32.76650      
58 DAWSON -101.94710 32.74260 66 0.23 0.36
59 DEAF SMITH -102.60460 34.96600 48 0.32 0.48
60 DELTA -95.69320 33.38950 57 0.72 1.05
61 DENTON -97.11740 33.20400 55 0.68 0.97
62 DEWITT -97.34050 29.07510 63 0.46 0.62
63 DICKENS -100.77830 33.61610 69 0.19 0.32
64 DIMMIT -99.75710 28.42220 59 0.14 0.25
65 DONLEY -100.81340 34.96500 58 0.37 0.61
66 KENEDY -97.72210 26.92890      
67 DUVAL -98.50140 27.68240 54 0.16 0.25
68 EASTLAND -98.84810 32.33420 66 0.27 0.38
69 ECTOR -102.54230 31.86890 57 0.19 0.30
70 EDWARDS -100.31350 29.99970 78 0.37 0.56
71 ELLIS -96.80790 32.35260 61 0.55 0.70
72 EL PASO -106.20460 31.80020 62 0.24 0.45
73 ERATH -98.21740 32.22940 64 0.56 0.73
74 FALLS -96.93560 31.25250 59 0.29 0.41
75 FANNIN -96.10010 33.58980 57 0.50 0.64
76 FAYETTE -96.91360 29.87340 63 0.53 0.70
77 FISHER -100.40150 32.74260 63 0.20 0.30
78 FLOYD -101.30270 34.07220 57 0.25 0.37
79 FOARD -99.78750 33.97040 62 0.18 0.29
80 FORT BEND -95.78200 29.52870 54 0.56 0.79
81 FRANKLIN -95.21880 33.17580 55 0.45 0.64
82 FREESTONE -96.15090 31.70100 62 0.39 0.53
83 FRIO -99.10810 28.86730 58 0.25 0.37
84 GAINES -102.63480 32.74030 61 0.14 0.22
85 GALVESTON -95.00500 29.38740 47 0.51 0.94
86 GARZA -101.29800 33.17960 69 0.24 0.39
87 GILLESPIE -98.94680 30.31800 72 0.53 0.74
88 GLASSCOCK -101.52020 31.86950 56 0.15 0.25
89 GOLIAD -97.41820 28.65700 61 0.41 0.59
90 GONZALES -97.49390 29.42860 60 0.54 0.70
91 GRAY -100.81250 35.40070 59 0.25 0.38
92 GRAYSON -96.67710 33.62290 56 0.50 0.65
93 GREGG -94.80980 32.47440 53 0.69 0.99
94 GRIMES -95.98390 30.54790 61 0.60 0.78
95 GUADALUPE -97.93730 29.58330 60 0.79 1.04
96 HALE -101.82650 34.07050 48 0.31 0.45
97 HALL -100.68100 34.53060 62 0.32 0.52
98 HAMILTON -98.10710 31.69450 64 0.38 0.56
99 HANSFORD -101.35410 36.27750 67 0.23 0.35
100 HARDEMAN -99.75710 34.28550 61 0.22 0.36
101 HARDIN -94.39180 30.33720 53 0.38 0.56
102 HARRIS -95.38690 29.86050      
103 HARRISON -94.36020 32.54650 53 0.80 1.00
104 HARTLEY -102.60280 35.83980 59 0.27 0.45
105 HASKELL -99.72960 33.17820 65 0.24 0.35
106 HAYS -98.03250 30.05340 63 0.68 0.98
107 HEMPHILL -100.26990 35.83760 64 0.23 0.37
108 HENDERSON -95.85150 32.21950 59 0.96 1.18
109 HIDALGO -98.17570 26.37700 41 0.26 0.37
110 HILL -97.14370 31.98740 61 0.46 0.60
111 HOCKLEY -102.34260 33.60800 50 0.43 0.60
112 HOOD -97.83930 32.43390 62 0.73 1.03
113 HOPKINS -95.55620 33.14670 53 0.57 0.75
114 HOUSTON -95.44090 31.33340 63 0.53 0.69
115 HOWARD -101.43520 32.30620 61 0.17 0.28
116 HUDSPETH -105.35870 31.48080 62 0.22 0.34
117 HUNT -96.08580 33.12650 51 0.72 0.89
118 HUTCHINSON -101.35420 35.84010 65 0.25 0.38
119 IRION -100.98260 31.30320 63 0.23 0.37
120 JACK -98.17200 33.23340 61 0.37 0.52
121 JACKSON -96.58150 28.95640 56 0.37 0.53
122 JASPER -94.01280 30.79090 59 0.51 0.68
123 JEFF DAVIS -104.11920 30.70090 72 0.15 0.26
124 JEFFERSON -94.17430 29.89090 52 0.51 0.80
125 JIM HOGG -98.69570 27.03480 50 0.19 0.29
126 JIM WELLS -98.10450 27.76320 49 0.45 0.67
127 JOHNSON -97.37420 32.38040 62 0.77 1.03
128 JONES -99.87840 32.73990 62 0.30 0.43
129 KARNES -97.84640 28.88740 59 0.36 0.49
130 KAUFMAN -96.28420 32.60080 58 0.92 1.14
131 KENDALL -98.71690 29.94550 64 0.71 1.01
132 KENT -100.77740 33.18100 64 0.19 0.31
133 KERR -99.37560 30.05640 73 0.55 0.77
134 KIMBLE -99.75370 30.47620 75 0.27 0.43
135 KING -100.25530 33.61620 68 0.17 0.28
136 KINNEY -100.41670 29.34490 64 0.42 0.72
137 KLEBERG -97.74940 27.43230 48 0.47 0.72
138 KNOX -99.74410 33.60540 67 0.17 0.28
139 LAMAR -95.56770 33.66730 60 0.63 0.81
140 LAMB -102.35100 34.06830 53 0.27 0.39
141 LAMPASAS -98.23710 31.18820 68 0.48 0.70
142 LA SALLE -99.09980 28.34470 59 0.16 0.29
143 LAVACA -96.93250 29.38410 65 0.36 0.51
144 LEE -96.96420 30.31700 64 0.88 1.16
145 LEON -95.99050 31.29610 60 0.46 0.62
146 LIBERTY -94.81910 30.13730 51 0.57 0.78
147 LIMESTONE -96.58480 31.54780 60 0.29 0.41
148 LIPSCOMB -100.27280 36.27770 67 0.17 0.30
149 LIVE OAK -98.13370 28.33000 58 0.33 0.49
150 LLANO -98.68500 30.70510 70 0.61 0.80
151 LOVING -103.56610 31.85830 57 0.18 0.34
152 LUBBOCK -101.81990 33.61010 53 0.39 0.53
153 LYNN -101.81560 33.17640 52 0.30 0.45
154 MADISON -95.93000 30.96350 62 0.48 0.68
155 MARION -94.36600 32.80000 52 0.90 1.18
156 MARTIN -101.95070 32.30610 56 0.15 0.23
157 MASON -99.22660 30.71750 70 0.39 0.59
158 MATAGORDA -95.97580 28.85040 53 0.49 0.64
159 MAVERICK -100.29120 28.77970 59 0.25 0.44
160 MCCULLOCH -99.34730 31.19810 67 0.27 0.40
161 MCLENNAN -97.20130 31.55240 60 0.52 0.68
162 MCMULLEN -98.56710 28.34890 57 0.20 0.32
163 MEDINA -99.11220 29.35300 60 0.54 0.72
164 MENARD -99.82300 30.88500 71 0.20 0.33
165 MIDLAND -102.03100 31.86900 53 0.14 0.23
166 MILAM -96.97870 30.78460 62 0.57 0.76
167 MILLS -98.58080 31.49080 67 0.36 0.53
168 MITCHELL -100.92070 32.30590 61 0.25 0.39
169 MONTAGUE -97.71660 33.67360 58 0.47 0.64
170 MONTGOMERY -95.50400 30.29130 59 0.77 1.11
171 MOORE -101.89250 35.83760 61 0.24 0.37
172 MORRIS -94.73170 33.11320 54 0.46 0.70
173 MOTLEY -100.77920 34.07410 63 0.24 0.39
174 NACOGDOCHES -94.60650 31.61980 60 0.69 0.90
175 NAVARRO -96.47010 32.04610 61 0.61 0.79
176 NEWTON -93.75880 30.82570 59 0.45 0.63
177 NOLAN -100.40550 32.30350 56 0.37 0.54
178 NUECES -97.63560 27.72020 49 0.72 0.98
179 OCHILTREE -100.81530 36.27820 68 0.16 0.25
180 OLDHAM -102.60190 35.40440 54 0.24 0.42
181 ORANGE -93.88540 30.12770 53 0.72 1.05
182 PALO PINTO -98.31070 32.75270 64 0.66 0.84
183 PANOLA -94.30370 32.15890 57 0.57 0.77
184 PARKER -97.80480 32.77730 60 0.57 0.76
185 PARMER -102.78390 34.52990 50 0.42 0.60
186 PECOS -102.73090 30.78840 71 0.24 0.33
187 POLK -94.81900 30.78950 59 0.83 1.04
188 POTTER -101.89340 35.40110 54 0.36 0.58
189 PRESIDIO -104.21740 30.01980 72 0.23 0.35
190 RAINS -95.78840 32.87300 55 0.42 0.63
191 RANDALL -101.89650 34.96580 48 0.31 0.49
192 REAGAN -101.52280 31.36640 68 0.17 0.28
193 REAL -99.82390 29.82440 72 0.54 0.78
194 RED RIVER -95.06400 33.61460 57 0.54 0.72
195 REEVES -103.71250 31.30230 68 0.19 0.29
196 REFUGIO -97.16960 28.33120 58 0.40 0.59
197 ROBERTS -100.81280 35.83800 63 0.22 0.37
198 ROBERTSON -96.50940 31.03280 60 0.56 0.75
199 ROCKWALL -96.40740 32.89780 52 1.34 1.82
200 RUNNELS -99.97560 31.83150 56 0.29 0.42
201 RUSK -94.76410 32.10870 57 0.61 0.76
202 SABINE -93.85880 31.33390 57 0.71 0.96
203 SAN AUGUSTINE -94.16550 31.39940 58 0.67 0.87
204 SAN JACINTO -95.18650 30.55530 58 0.62 0.82
205 SAN PATRICIO -97.51840 28.00850 49 0.41 0.57
206 SAN SABA -98.82870 31.14350 69 0.29 0.43
207 SCHLEICHER -100.53810 30.89710 65 0.17 0.29
208 SCURRY -100.91590 32.74610 63 0.28 0.41
209 SHACKELFORD -99.35360 32.73580 64 0.28 0.45
210 SHELBY -94.14050 31.79100 60 0.88 1.13
211 SHERMAN -101.89290 36.27760 65 0.33 0.54
212 SMITH -95.27100 32.38230 53 0.64 0.81
213 SOMERVELL -97.77830 32.22460 61 0.79 1.20
214 STARR -98.72550 26.56750 46 0.28 0.42
215 STEPHENS -98.83610 32.73540 67 0.33 0.47
216 STERLING -101.05020 31.82900 63 0.19 0.32
217 STONEWALL -100.25320 33.17880 64 0.21 0.32
218 SUTTON -100.53740 30.49800 81 0.21 0.36
219 SWISHER -101.73440 34.53030 51 0.30 0.46
220 TARRANT -97.29130 32.77020 59 0.79 1.33
221 TAYLOR -99.88960 32.30150 55 0.45 0.63
222 TERRELL -102.06360 30.21370 76 0.16 0.28
223 TERRY -102.33480 33.17390 61 0.22 0.34
224 THROCKMORTON -99.21190 33.17740 65 0.22 0.35
225 TITUS -94.96350 33.21800 57 0.42 0.62
226 TOM GREEN -100.44860 31.41600 58 0.34 0.51
227 TRAVIS -97.77950 30.34150 61 1.65 2.40
228 TRINITY -95.13030 31.08420 59 0.63 0.84
229 TYLER -94.37960 30.76470 56 0.61 0.83
230 UPSHUR -94.94750 32.73930 52 0.55 0.72
231 UPTON -102.04240 31.36940 54 0.14 0.23
232 UVALDE -99.76180 29.35720 64 0.39 0.53
233 VAL VERDE -101.11080 29.91870 80 0.27 0.40
234 VAN ZANDT -95.84640 32.55890 55 0.66 0.82
235 VICTORIA -96.97560 28.79800 60 0.41 0.60
236 WALKER -95.55870 30.73860 61 0.67 0.89
237 WALLER -95.98950 30.02040 58 0.80 1.04
238 WARD -103.08910 31.51400 58 0.27 0.42
239 WASHINGTON -96.39550 30.21460 62 1.08 1.38
240 WEBB -99.31560 27.78410 63 0.14 0.25
241 WHARTON -96.21560 29.26360 57 0.74 0.98
242 WHEELER -100.26950 35.40110 60 0.18 0.29
243 WICHITA -98.70460 33.98580 60 0.42 0.59
244 WILBARGER -99.25980 34.07060 61 0.23 0.36
245 WILLACY -97.66310 26.47440 41 0.44 0.63
246 WILLIAMSON -97.61560 30.64700 62 0.76 0.98
247 WILSON -98.09960 29.17810 55 0.49 0.65
248 WINKLER -103.03660 31.84740 60 0.20 0.32
249 WISE -97.65340 33.21610 59 0.61 0.80
250 WOOD -95.37630 32.79000 55 0.60 0.75
251 YOAKUM -102.82720 33.17270 63 0.20 0.31
252 YOUNG -98.68690 33.17650 65 0.29 0.41
253 ZAPATA -99.15670 27.01910 62 0.15 0.29
254 ZAVALA -99.75910 28.86550 58 0.31 0.50

The diameter of the dark outer circle represents the 97.5 percentile estimates; the light gray intermediate band represents the mean; and the medium gray inner circle represents the 2.5 percentile estimates.

1 Data cover only KAB crashes on rural, 2-lane, low-volume, on-system roads.