Figure 5: Smoothed Components of the Late Arrivals Series
Figure 5: Smoothed Components of the Late Arrivals Series
Generated by STAMP
Excel | CSV | Graphic Version
| Arrive Late | Smoothed Trend | Smoothed Seasonal Component | Smoothed Irregular Components | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep-87 | 22.91274 | 25.5771495 | -4.413217197 | 1.7488077 |
| Oct-87 | 19.60947 | 24.9983895 | -3.288212977 | -2.100706565 |
| Nov-87 | 23.84278 | 25.1148489 | -1.309606614 | 0.037537743 |
| Dec-87 | 33.48978 | 25.2188853 | 5.249742257 | 3.021152489 |
| Jan-88 | 30.64676 | 24.323085 | 4.64730572 | 1.67636932 |
| Feb-88 | 25.23977 | 22.8724979 | 2.370240333 | -0.002968197 |
| Mar-88 | 21.10317 | 21.4228931 | 1.138780981 | -1.458504061 |
| Apr-88 | 17.32967 | 20.4559736 | -2.661935513 | -0.464368069 |
| May-88 | 18.03329 | 19.6427346 | -2.947902721 | 1.338458137 |
| Jun-88 | 15.61631 | 18.386539 | 1.471812214 | -4.242041166 |
| Jul-88 | 18.45969 | 18.5342276 | -0.152692852 | 0.078155299 |
| Aug-88 | 17.04326 | 18.656051 | -0.104313632 | -1.50847738 |
| Sep-88 | 14.37269 | 19.2770982 | -4.413217197 | -0.491191003 |
| Oct-88 | 16.59565 | 20.0607028 | -3.288212977 | -0.17683984 |
| Nov-88 | 22.33825 | 20.9028318 | -1.309606614 | 2.745024839 |
| Dec-88 | 23.86316 | 20.8365072 | 5.249742257 | -2.223089502 |
| Jan-89 | 23.31793 | 21.5059041 | 4.64730572 | -2.835279796 |
| Feb-89 | 27.57885 | 23.1136239 | 2.370240333 | 2.094985806 |
| Mar-89 | 30.38276 | 24.0280176 | 1.138780981 | 5.215961396 |
| Apr-89 | 16.60511 | 23.2162127 | -2.661935513 | -3.949167168 |
| May-89 | 20.53874 | 23.7113667 | -2.947902721 | -0.224723932 |
| Jun-89 | 27.82352 | 24.280892 | 1.471812214 | 2.070815798 |
| Jul-89 | 23.12581 | 24.1650903 | -0.152692852 | -0.886587401 |
| Aug-89 | 25.36865 | 24.3427006 | -0.104313632 | 1.130263045 |
| Sep-89 | 20.3863 | 24.1462555 | -4.413217197 | 0.653261692 |
| Oct-89 | 20.5397 | 23.7336164 | -3.288212977 | 0.094296538 |
| Nov-89 | 21.97807 | 23.2897704 | -1.309606614 | -0.002093747 |
| Dec-89 | 29.80139 | 22.8466172 | 5.249742257 | 1.705030544 |
| Jan-90 | 22.39621 | 21.8391919 | 4.64730572 | -4.090287653 |
| Feb-90 | 26.77955 | 22.1854288 | 2.370240333 | 2.223880903 |
| Mar-90 | 23.45607 | 21.7956823 | 1.138780981 | 0.521606695 |
| Apr-90 | 17.78644 | 21.2333125 | -2.661935513 | -0.784937007 |
| May-90 | 19.1577 | 20.930714 | -2.947902721 | 1.174888672 |
| Jun-90 | 19.93781 | 20.2392915 | 1.471812214 | -1.773293729 |
| Jul-90 | 18.9418 | 20.1347325 | -0.152692852 | -1.040239625 |
| Aug-90 | 21.4632 | 20.374436 | -0.104313632 | 1.193077621 |
| Sep-90 | 15.58588 | 20.2192959 | -4.413217197 | -0.220198735 |
| Oct-90 | 17.5806 | 20.1370296 | -3.288212977 | 0.731783354 |
| Nov-90 | 15.42839 | 19.8125829 | -1.309606614 | -3.074586328 |
| Dec-90 | 29.6969 | 20.5056566 | 5.249742257 | 3.941501121 |
| Jan-91 | 26.16719 | 19.8943084 | 4.64730572 | 1.625575848 |
| Feb-91 | 18.15044 | 18.7449833 | 2.370240333 | -2.964783641 |
| Mar-91 | 19.99399 | 18.5768398 | 1.138780981 | 0.278369171 |
| Apr-91 | 16.62427 | 18.3165714 | -2.661935513 | 0.969634137 |
| May-91 | 16.49834 | 17.7354069 | -2.947902721 | 1.710835826 |
| Jun-91 | 14.71894 | 16.5880491 | 1.471812214 | -3.340921293 |
| Jul-91 | 15.50569 | 16.546354 | -0.152692852 | -0.887971119 |
| Aug-91 | 16.72981 | 16.7985289 | -0.104313632 | 0.035594765 |
| Sep-91 | 12.09603 | 17.0389238 | -4.413217197 | -0.529676639 |
| Oct-91 | 16.60775 | 17.4546129 | -3.288212977 | 2.441350097 |
| Nov-91 | 17.28484 | 17.0623482 | -1.309606614 | 1.532098401 |
| Dec-91 | 20.04338 | 16.1630425 | 5.249742257 | -1.369404804 |
| Jan-92 | 18.60818 | 15.7169352 | 4.64730572 | -1.756060894 |
| Feb-92 | 16.5733 | 15.8519882 | 2.370240333 | -1.6489285 |
| Mar-92 | 19.09917 | 16.5327465 | 1.138780981 | 1.42764247 |
| Apr-92 | 13.40281 | 16.7410331 | -2.661935513 | -0.676287634 |
| May-92 | 13.44588 | 17.1731341 | -2.947902721 | -0.779351341 |
| Jun-92 | 18.96266 | 17.8631578 | 1.471812214 | -0.372309973 |
| Jul-92 | 20.22239 | 18.6763957 | -0.152692852 | 1.698687103 |
| Aug-92 | 19.66137 | 18.927461 | -0.104313632 | 0.838222665 |
| Sep-92 | 14.80782 | 18.9011202 | -4.413217197 | 0.31991699 |
| Oct-92 | 14.18532 | 18.7689044 | -3.288212977 | -1.295371396 |
| Nov-92 | 17.31979 | 19.0653858 | -1.309606614 | -0.435989198 |
| Dec-92 | 26.10514 | 19.5061559 | 5.249742257 | 1.34924185 |
| Jan-93 | 22.37419 | 19.5004005 | 4.64730572 | -1.77351624 |
| Feb-93 | 23.14702 | 20.0815823 | 2.370240333 | 0.695197387 |
| Mar-93 | 26.39383 | 20.4326916 | 1.138780981 | 4.822357391 |
| Apr-93 | 17.08054 | 19.1878637 | -2.661935513 | 0.554611784 |
| May-93 | 12.89027 | 17.7594896 | -2.947902721 | -1.92131686 |
| Jun-93 | 16.75369 | 16.9669665 | 1.471812214 | -1.685088724 |
| Jul-93 | 13.94117 | 16.7321159 | -0.152692852 | -2.638253038 |
| Aug-93 | 15.87771 | 17.3703831 | -0.104313632 | -1.388359481 |
| Sep-93 | 15.36926 | 18.4681216 | -4.413217197 | 1.314355604 |
| Oct-93 | 16.96058 | 19.1308801 | -3.288212977 | 1.117912913 |
| Nov-93 | 18.82447 | 19.4236703 | -1.309606614 | 0.710406274 |
| Dec-93 | 21.38893 | 19.4813549 | 5.249742257 | -3.342167147 |
| Jan-94 | 29.53374 | 20.6451145 | 4.64730572 | 4.241319823 |
| Feb-94 | 26.16926 | 20.4052285 | 2.370240333 | 3.39379115 |
| Mar-94 | 17.4361 | 19.0421828 | 1.138780981 | -2.744863814 |
| Apr-94 | 16.97289 | 18.5875373 | -2.661935513 | 1.04728817 |
| May-94 | 12.3694 | 17.7862966 | -2.947902721 | -2.468993875 |
| Jun-94 | 18.23044 | 17.8021581 | 1.471812214 | -1.043530357 |
| Jul-94 | 20.5469 | 18.1633713 | -0.152692852 | 2.536221536 |
| Aug-94 | 16.24546 | 17.6852335 | -0.104313632 | -1.335459875 |
| Sep-94 | 12.04843 | 17.6490601 | -4.413217197 | -1.187412872 |
| Oct-94 | 14.07329 | 18.0058555 | -3.288212977 | -0.644352544 |
| Nov-94 | 19.2489 | 18.5758965 | -1.309606614 | 1.982610096 |
| Dec-94 | 20.74818 | 18.4898017 | 5.249742257 | -2.991363977 |
| Jan-95 | 26.17259 | 19.3936852 | 4.64730572 | 2.131599055 |
| Feb-95 | 21.09096 | 19.5921257 | 2.370240333 | -0.87140605 |
| Mar-95 | 20.70214 | 20.0789541 | 1.138780981 | -0.51559506 |
| Apr-95 | 18.69618 | 20.7364163 | -2.661935513 | 0.621699232 |
| May-95 | 19.32279 | 21.1881299 | -2.947902721 | 1.082562772 |
| Jun-95 | 24.0586 | 21.2815744 | 1.471812214 | 1.305213396 |
| Jul-95 | 19.91882 | 20.9430644 | -0.152692852 | -0.871551543 |
| Aug-95 | 20.14525 | 20.8929904 | -0.104313632 | -0.643426788 |
| Sep-95 | 14.41548 | 21.0558556 | -4.413217197 | -2.227158416 |
| Oct-95 | 17.90736 | 21.9557888 | -3.288212977 | -0.760215779 |
| Nov-95 | 22.14985 | 23.1073119 | -1.309606614 | 0.35214476 |
| Dec-95 | 32.34025 | 24.1422942 | 5.249742257 | 2.948213499 |
| Jan-96 | 37.33029 | 24.2015788 | 4.64730572 | 1.16288E-15 |
| Feb-96 | 28.09632 | 24.2608633 | 2.370240333 | 1.465216341 |
| Mar-96 | 24.06193 | 23.8352412 | 1.138780981 | -0.912092165 |
| Apr-96 | 19.81826 | 23.7114718 | -2.661935513 | -1.231276281 |
| May-96 | 21.08157 | 23.9951877 | -2.947902721 | 0.034285031 |
| Jun-96 | 25.3321 | 24.2675571 | 1.471812214 | -0.407269325 |
| Jul-96 | 24.71486 | 24.6747105 | -0.152692852 | 0.192842388 |
| Aug-96 | 25.30987 | 25.0180435 | -0.104313632 | 0.396140126 |
| Sep-96 | 21.30936 | 25.2302758 | -4.413217197 | 0.492301424 |
| Oct-96 | 22.81499 | 25.2795831 | -3.288212977 | 0.823619853 |
| Nov-96 | 22.08565 | 25.0563172 | -1.309606614 | -1.661060616 |
| Dec-96 | 33.37434 | 25.3827718 | 5.249742257 | 2.74182595 |
| Jan-97 | 31.59371 | 24.8018315 | 4.64730572 | 2.144572753 |
| Feb-97 | 24.78564 | 23.5111547 | 2.370240333 | -1.095754994 |
| Mar-97 | 21.90197 | 22.5831129 | 1.138780981 | -1.819923908 |
| Apr-97 | 20.15363 | 22.2573667 | -2.661935513 | 0.558198779 |
| May-97 | 16.84206 | 21.7468872 | -2.947902721 | -1.956924473 |
| Jun-97 | 23.86491 | 21.8840429 | 1.471812214 | 0.509054879 |
| Jul-97 | 22.50311 | 21.8527292 | -0.152692852 | 0.803073627 |
| Aug-97 | 21.43534 | 21.555642 | -0.104313632 | -0.015988345 |
| Sep-97 | 14.96903 | 21.263846 | -4.413217197 | -1.881598803 |
| Oct-97 | 18.4526 | 21.5947566 | -3.288212977 | 0.146056388 |
| Nov-97 | 21.77757 | 21.8773305 | -1.309606614 | 1.209846133 |
| Dec-97 | 26.46439 | 21.7595113 | 5.249742257 | -0.544863554 |
| Jan-98 | 24.94751 | 21.8220122 | 4.64730572 | -1.521807948 |
| Feb-98 | 24.60783 | 22.3881486 | 2.370240333 | -0.150558911 |
| Mar-98 | 24.14842 | 23.0041117 | 1.138780981 | 0.005527303 |
| Apr-98 | 20.87773 | 23.6182456 | -2.661935513 | -0.078580104 |
| May-98 | 22.5176 | 24.2583852 | -2.947902721 | 1.207117475 |
| Jun-98 | 29.58356 | 24.4990348 | 1.471812214 | 3.612712949 |
| Jul-98 | 21.14227 | 23.5440735 | -0.152692852 | -2.249110656 |
| Aug-98 | 22.96688 | 23.3334451 | -0.104313632 | -0.26225149 |
| Sep-98 | 21.06371 | 23.2096077 | -4.413217197 | 2.267319524 |
| Oct-98 | 18.25467 | 22.3354111 | -3.288212977 | -0.792528162 |
| Nov-98 | 16.71439 | 21.7234982 | -1.309606614 | -3.699501582 |
| Dec-98 | 26.78296 | 22.3359185 | 5.249742257 | -0.802700734 |
| Jan-99 | 32.33571 | 23.2139889 | 4.64730572 | 4.474415365 |
| Feb-99 | 21.09442 | 22.6112719 | 2.370240333 | -3.887092271 |
| Mar-99 | 21.90998 | 23.2949705 | 1.138780981 | -2.523771451 |
| Apr-99 | 24.27056 | 24.8138997 | -2.661935513 | 2.118595827 |
| May-99 | 23.81475 | 25.6316892 | -2.947902721 | 1.130963474 |
| Jun-99 | 29.12348 | 26.0751916 | 1.471812214 | 1.576476196 |
| Jul-99 | 28.93194 | 25.9969663 | -0.152692852 | 3.087666545 |
| Aug-99 | 23.88661 | 24.8968918 | -0.104313632 | -0.90596819 |
| Sep-99 | 20.65286 | 24.0966434 | -4.413217197 | 0.969433808 |
| Oct-99 | 19.94025 | 22.9755652 | -3.288212977 | 0.252897731 |
| Nov-99 | 18.58512 | 21.7707917 | -1.309606614 | -1.876065136 |
| Dec-99 | 22.00326 | 21.1868935 | 5.249742257 | -4.433375735 |
| Jan-00 | 26.25357 | 22.0702007 | 4.64730572 | -0.463936463 |
| Feb-00 | 25.23988 | 23.1070457 | 2.370240333 | -0.237406003 |
| Mar-00 | 23.01167 | 24.222459 | 1.138780981 | -2.349570017 |
| Apr-00 | 24.63007 | 26.1154519 | -2.661935513 | 1.176553601 |
| May-00 | 25.74623 | 27.6190697 | -2.947902721 | 1.075062996 |
| Jun-00 | 33.66186 | 28.7669003 | 1.471812214 | 3.423147457 |
| Jul-00 | 29.69471 | 28.7818559 | -0.152692852 | 1.065547002 |
| Aug-00 | 30.03586 | 28.4441734 | -0.104313632 | 1.696000195 |
| Sep-00 | 21.90383 | 27.5452075 | -4.413217197 | -1.228160275 |
| Oct-00 | 23.92658 | 27.0526956 | -3.288212977 | 0.162097413 |
| Nov-00 | 27.37656 | 26.5065383 | -1.309606614 | 2.179628359 |
| Dec-00 | 37.59103 | 25.2390429 | 5.249742257 | -2.66454E-15 |
| Jan-01 | 24.76589 | 23.9715475 | 4.64730572 | -3.85296317 |
| Feb-01 | 27.33524 | 23.9791727 | 2.370240333 | 0.98582698 |
| Mar-01 | 24.85218 | 23.660543 | 1.138780981 | 0.052856051 |
| Apr-01 | 20.80052 | 23.3244208 | -2.661935513 | 0.138034733 |
| May-01 | 18.59185 | 22.9426166 | -2.947902721 | -1.402863902 |
| Jun-01 | 24.86393 | 23.0250839 | 1.471812214 | 0.367033891 |
| Jul-01 | 21.94491 | 22.986083 | -0.152692852 | -0.888480119 |
| Aug-01 | 23.90744 | 23.2411205 | -0.104313632 | 0.770633131 |
Note: The first panel shows the observed series and the fitted trend, the second shows the seasonal component, and the third shows the irregular component.