Figure 5: Smoothed Components of the Late Arrivals Series

Figure 5: Smoothed Components of the Late Arrivals Series

Generated by STAMP

Excel | CSV | Graphic Version

  Arrive Late Smoothed Trend Smoothed Seasonal Component Smoothed Irregular Components
Sep-87 22.91274 25.5771495 -4.413217197 1.7488077
Oct-87 19.60947 24.9983895 -3.288212977 -2.100706565
Nov-87 23.84278 25.1148489 -1.309606614 0.037537743
Dec-87 33.48978 25.2188853 5.249742257 3.021152489
Jan-88 30.64676 24.323085 4.64730572 1.67636932
Feb-88 25.23977 22.8724979 2.370240333 -0.002968197
Mar-88 21.10317 21.4228931 1.138780981 -1.458504061
Apr-88 17.32967 20.4559736 -2.661935513 -0.464368069
May-88 18.03329 19.6427346 -2.947902721 1.338458137
Jun-88 15.61631 18.386539 1.471812214 -4.242041166
Jul-88 18.45969 18.5342276 -0.152692852 0.078155299
Aug-88 17.04326 18.656051 -0.104313632 -1.50847738
Sep-88 14.37269 19.2770982 -4.413217197 -0.491191003
Oct-88 16.59565 20.0607028 -3.288212977 -0.17683984
Nov-88 22.33825 20.9028318 -1.309606614 2.745024839
Dec-88 23.86316 20.8365072 5.249742257 -2.223089502
Jan-89 23.31793 21.5059041 4.64730572 -2.835279796
Feb-89 27.57885 23.1136239 2.370240333 2.094985806
Mar-89 30.38276 24.0280176 1.138780981 5.215961396
Apr-89 16.60511 23.2162127 -2.661935513 -3.949167168
May-89 20.53874 23.7113667 -2.947902721 -0.224723932
Jun-89 27.82352 24.280892 1.471812214 2.070815798
Jul-89 23.12581 24.1650903 -0.152692852 -0.886587401
Aug-89 25.36865 24.3427006 -0.104313632 1.130263045
Sep-89 20.3863 24.1462555 -4.413217197 0.653261692
Oct-89 20.5397 23.7336164 -3.288212977 0.094296538
Nov-89 21.97807 23.2897704 -1.309606614 -0.002093747
Dec-89 29.80139 22.8466172 5.249742257 1.705030544
Jan-90 22.39621 21.8391919 4.64730572 -4.090287653
Feb-90 26.77955 22.1854288 2.370240333 2.223880903
Mar-90 23.45607 21.7956823 1.138780981 0.521606695
Apr-90 17.78644 21.2333125 -2.661935513 -0.784937007
May-90 19.1577 20.930714 -2.947902721 1.174888672
Jun-90 19.93781 20.2392915 1.471812214 -1.773293729
Jul-90 18.9418 20.1347325 -0.152692852 -1.040239625
Aug-90 21.4632 20.374436 -0.104313632 1.193077621
Sep-90 15.58588 20.2192959 -4.413217197 -0.220198735
Oct-90 17.5806 20.1370296 -3.288212977 0.731783354
Nov-90 15.42839 19.8125829 -1.309606614 -3.074586328
Dec-90 29.6969 20.5056566 5.249742257 3.941501121
Jan-91 26.16719 19.8943084 4.64730572 1.625575848
Feb-91 18.15044 18.7449833 2.370240333 -2.964783641
Mar-91 19.99399 18.5768398 1.138780981 0.278369171
Apr-91 16.62427 18.3165714 -2.661935513 0.969634137
May-91 16.49834 17.7354069 -2.947902721 1.710835826
Jun-91 14.71894 16.5880491 1.471812214 -3.340921293
Jul-91 15.50569 16.546354 -0.152692852 -0.887971119
Aug-91 16.72981 16.7985289 -0.104313632 0.035594765
Sep-91 12.09603 17.0389238 -4.413217197 -0.529676639
Oct-91 16.60775 17.4546129 -3.288212977 2.441350097
Nov-91 17.28484 17.0623482 -1.309606614 1.532098401
Dec-91 20.04338 16.1630425 5.249742257 -1.369404804
Jan-92 18.60818 15.7169352 4.64730572 -1.756060894
Feb-92 16.5733 15.8519882 2.370240333 -1.6489285
Mar-92 19.09917 16.5327465 1.138780981 1.42764247
Apr-92 13.40281 16.7410331 -2.661935513 -0.676287634
May-92 13.44588 17.1731341 -2.947902721 -0.779351341
Jun-92 18.96266 17.8631578 1.471812214 -0.372309973
Jul-92 20.22239 18.6763957 -0.152692852 1.698687103
Aug-92 19.66137 18.927461 -0.104313632 0.838222665
Sep-92 14.80782 18.9011202 -4.413217197 0.31991699
Oct-92 14.18532 18.7689044 -3.288212977 -1.295371396
Nov-92 17.31979 19.0653858 -1.309606614 -0.435989198
Dec-92 26.10514 19.5061559 5.249742257 1.34924185
Jan-93 22.37419 19.5004005 4.64730572 -1.77351624
Feb-93 23.14702 20.0815823 2.370240333 0.695197387
Mar-93 26.39383 20.4326916 1.138780981 4.822357391
Apr-93 17.08054 19.1878637 -2.661935513 0.554611784
May-93 12.89027 17.7594896 -2.947902721 -1.92131686
Jun-93 16.75369 16.9669665 1.471812214 -1.685088724
Jul-93 13.94117 16.7321159 -0.152692852 -2.638253038
Aug-93 15.87771 17.3703831 -0.104313632 -1.388359481
Sep-93 15.36926 18.4681216 -4.413217197 1.314355604
Oct-93 16.96058 19.1308801 -3.288212977 1.117912913
Nov-93 18.82447 19.4236703 -1.309606614 0.710406274
Dec-93 21.38893 19.4813549 5.249742257 -3.342167147
Jan-94 29.53374 20.6451145 4.64730572 4.241319823
Feb-94 26.16926 20.4052285 2.370240333 3.39379115
Mar-94 17.4361 19.0421828 1.138780981 -2.744863814
Apr-94 16.97289 18.5875373 -2.661935513 1.04728817
May-94 12.3694 17.7862966 -2.947902721 -2.468993875
Jun-94 18.23044 17.8021581 1.471812214 -1.043530357
Jul-94 20.5469 18.1633713 -0.152692852 2.536221536
Aug-94 16.24546 17.6852335 -0.104313632 -1.335459875
Sep-94 12.04843 17.6490601 -4.413217197 -1.187412872
Oct-94 14.07329 18.0058555 -3.288212977 -0.644352544
Nov-94 19.2489 18.5758965 -1.309606614 1.982610096
Dec-94 20.74818 18.4898017 5.249742257 -2.991363977
Jan-95 26.17259 19.3936852 4.64730572 2.131599055
Feb-95 21.09096 19.5921257 2.370240333 -0.87140605
Mar-95 20.70214 20.0789541 1.138780981 -0.51559506
Apr-95 18.69618 20.7364163 -2.661935513 0.621699232
May-95 19.32279 21.1881299 -2.947902721 1.082562772
Jun-95 24.0586 21.2815744 1.471812214 1.305213396
Jul-95 19.91882 20.9430644 -0.152692852 -0.871551543
Aug-95 20.14525 20.8929904 -0.104313632 -0.643426788
Sep-95 14.41548 21.0558556 -4.413217197 -2.227158416
Oct-95 17.90736 21.9557888 -3.288212977 -0.760215779
Nov-95 22.14985 23.1073119 -1.309606614 0.35214476
Dec-95 32.34025 24.1422942 5.249742257 2.948213499
Jan-96 37.33029 24.2015788 4.64730572 1.16288E-15
Feb-96 28.09632 24.2608633 2.370240333 1.465216341
Mar-96 24.06193 23.8352412 1.138780981 -0.912092165
Apr-96 19.81826 23.7114718 -2.661935513 -1.231276281
May-96 21.08157 23.9951877 -2.947902721 0.034285031
Jun-96 25.3321 24.2675571 1.471812214 -0.407269325
Jul-96 24.71486 24.6747105 -0.152692852 0.192842388
Aug-96 25.30987 25.0180435 -0.104313632 0.396140126
Sep-96 21.30936 25.2302758 -4.413217197 0.492301424
Oct-96 22.81499 25.2795831 -3.288212977 0.823619853
Nov-96 22.08565 25.0563172 -1.309606614 -1.661060616
Dec-96 33.37434 25.3827718 5.249742257 2.74182595
Jan-97 31.59371 24.8018315 4.64730572 2.144572753
Feb-97 24.78564 23.5111547 2.370240333 -1.095754994
Mar-97 21.90197 22.5831129 1.138780981 -1.819923908
Apr-97 20.15363 22.2573667 -2.661935513 0.558198779
May-97 16.84206 21.7468872 -2.947902721 -1.956924473
Jun-97 23.86491 21.8840429 1.471812214 0.509054879
Jul-97 22.50311 21.8527292 -0.152692852 0.803073627
Aug-97 21.43534 21.555642 -0.104313632 -0.015988345
Sep-97 14.96903 21.263846 -4.413217197 -1.881598803
Oct-97 18.4526 21.5947566 -3.288212977 0.146056388
Nov-97 21.77757 21.8773305 -1.309606614 1.209846133
Dec-97 26.46439 21.7595113 5.249742257 -0.544863554
Jan-98 24.94751 21.8220122 4.64730572 -1.521807948
Feb-98 24.60783 22.3881486 2.370240333 -0.150558911
Mar-98 24.14842 23.0041117 1.138780981 0.005527303
Apr-98 20.87773 23.6182456 -2.661935513 -0.078580104
May-98 22.5176 24.2583852 -2.947902721 1.207117475
Jun-98 29.58356 24.4990348 1.471812214 3.612712949
Jul-98 21.14227 23.5440735 -0.152692852 -2.249110656
Aug-98 22.96688 23.3334451 -0.104313632 -0.26225149
Sep-98 21.06371 23.2096077 -4.413217197 2.267319524
Oct-98 18.25467 22.3354111 -3.288212977 -0.792528162
Nov-98 16.71439 21.7234982 -1.309606614 -3.699501582
Dec-98 26.78296 22.3359185 5.249742257 -0.802700734
Jan-99 32.33571 23.2139889 4.64730572 4.474415365
Feb-99 21.09442 22.6112719 2.370240333 -3.887092271
Mar-99 21.90998 23.2949705 1.138780981 -2.523771451
Apr-99 24.27056 24.8138997 -2.661935513 2.118595827
May-99 23.81475 25.6316892 -2.947902721 1.130963474
Jun-99 29.12348 26.0751916 1.471812214 1.576476196
Jul-99 28.93194 25.9969663 -0.152692852 3.087666545
Aug-99 23.88661 24.8968918 -0.104313632 -0.90596819
Sep-99 20.65286 24.0966434 -4.413217197 0.969433808
Oct-99 19.94025 22.9755652 -3.288212977 0.252897731
Nov-99 18.58512 21.7707917 -1.309606614 -1.876065136
Dec-99 22.00326 21.1868935 5.249742257 -4.433375735
Jan-00 26.25357 22.0702007 4.64730572 -0.463936463
Feb-00 25.23988 23.1070457 2.370240333 -0.237406003
Mar-00 23.01167 24.222459 1.138780981 -2.349570017
Apr-00 24.63007 26.1154519 -2.661935513 1.176553601
May-00 25.74623 27.6190697 -2.947902721 1.075062996
Jun-00 33.66186 28.7669003 1.471812214 3.423147457
Jul-00 29.69471 28.7818559 -0.152692852 1.065547002
Aug-00 30.03586 28.4441734 -0.104313632 1.696000195
Sep-00 21.90383 27.5452075 -4.413217197 -1.228160275
Oct-00 23.92658 27.0526956 -3.288212977 0.162097413
Nov-00 27.37656 26.5065383 -1.309606614 2.179628359
Dec-00 37.59103 25.2390429 5.249742257 -2.66454E-15
Jan-01 24.76589 23.9715475 4.64730572 -3.85296317
Feb-01 27.33524 23.9791727 2.370240333 0.98582698
Mar-01 24.85218 23.660543 1.138780981 0.052856051
Apr-01 20.80052 23.3244208 -2.661935513 0.138034733
May-01 18.59185 22.9426166 -2.947902721 -1.402863902
Jun-01 24.86393 23.0250839 1.471812214 0.367033891
Jul-01 21.94491 22.986083 -0.152692852 -0.888480119
Aug-01 23.90744 23.2411205 -0.104313632 0.770633131

Note: The first panel shows the observed series and the fitted trend, the second shows the seasonal component, and the third shows the irregular component.