Figure 6: Filtered Components of the Late Arrivals Series: September 1987-August 2001

Figure 6: Filtered Components of the Late Arrivals Series: September 1987-August 2001

Generated by STAMP

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Date Arrive late Filtered trend Filtered seasonal component Filtered irregular component
Sep-87 22.91274      
Oct-87 19.60947      
Nov-87 23.84278      
Dec-87 33.48978      
Jan-88 30.64676      
Feb-88 25.23977      
Mar-88 21.10317      
Apr-88 17.32967      
May-88 18.03329      
Jun-88 15.61631      
Jul-88 18.45969      
Aug-88 17.04326      
Sep-88 14.37269 21.94389083 -4.413217197 -8.54005
Oct-88 16.59565 18.74820224 -3.288212977 2.192577483
Nov-88 22.33825 19.43519938 -1.309606614 2.280227647
Dec-88 23.86316 20.14328268 5.249742257 -7.131532589
Jan-89 23.31793 17.89281505 4.64730572 -2.443693753
Feb-89 27.57885 17.11344535 2.370240333 7.652957893
Mar-89 30.38276 19.56084992 1.138780981 11.11514834
Apr-89 16.60511 23.10745546 -2.661935513 -3.518522762
May-89 20.53874 21.98957709 -2.947902721 0.901794394
Jun-89 27.82352 22.27487975 1.471812214 10.03576212
Jul-89 23.12581 25.44123802 -0.152692852 -1.480407882
Aug-89 25.36865 24.97425694 -0.104313632 2.773562042
Sep-89 20.3863 25.85193381 -4.413217197 -2.031174886
Oct-89 20.5397 25.09589784 -3.288212977 -0.370229086
Nov-89 21.97807 24.9634155 -1.309606614 -3.770204666
Dec-89 29.80139 23.61283974 5.249742257 -0.021159928
Jan-90 22.39621 23.60521792 4.64730572 -5.789513794
Feb-90 26.77955 21.51381352 2.370240333 1.425763881
Mar-90 23.45607 22.02899799 1.138780981 -1.948066068
Apr-90 17.78644 21.32588887 -2.661935513 1.814852124
May-90 19.1577 21.97990422 -2.947902721 -0.011391879
Jun-90 19.93781 21.97580421 1.471812214 -1.786842349
Jul-90 18.9418 21.33308555 -0.152692852 -1.268879259
Aug-90 21.4632 20.87650146 -0.104313632 1.191768337
Sep-90 15.58588 21.30600643 -4.413217197 -2.219615959
Oct-90 17.5806 20.45182717 -3.288212977 0.946702446
Nov-90 15.42839 20.81016574 -1.309606614 -5.536169456
Dec-90 29.6969 18.71223485 5.249742257 4.555100406
Jan-91 26.16719 20.44309352 4.64730572 2.575019201
Feb-91 18.15044 21.42281646 2.370240333 -7.711246374
Mar-91 19.99399 18.48887256 1.138780981 -1.260220607
Apr-91 16.62427 18.00969453 -2.661935513 3.443200298
May-91 16.49834 19.31789406 -2.947902721 -0.293318303
Jun-91 14.71894 19.20651799 1.471812214 -3.997201035
Jul-91 15.50569 17.68906541 -0.152692852 -0.790471556
Aug-91 16.72981 17.38889329 -0.104313632 -0.566096555
Sep-91 12.09603 17.17373696 -4.413217197 -1.217898932
Oct-91 16.60775 16.69408805 -3.288212977 3.383347407
Nov-91 17.28484 18.01460239 -1.309606614 0.151818612
Dec-91 20.04338 18.07390841 5.249742257 -5.617477414
Jan-92 18.60818 15.87596658 4.64730572 -1.286868106
Feb-92 16.5733 15.37209276 2.370240333 -1.78374914
Mar-92 19.09917 14.67368903 1.138780981 1.984843024
Apr-92 13.40281 15.45051627 -2.661935513 1.897289498
May-92 13.44588 16.19273034 -2.947902721 -0.517031308
Jun-92 18.96266 15.99053813 1.471812214 4.062465951
Jul-92 20.22239 17.5790596 -0.152692852 3.965860809
Aug-92 19.66137 19.13012342 -0.104313632 0.46384681
Sep-92 14.80782 19.31163632 -4.413217197 -0.607493769
Oct-92 14.18532 19.0685439 -3.288212977 -2.181724657
Nov-92 17.31979 18.20043 -1.309606614 -0.218148345
Dec-92 26.10514 18.11357205 5.249742257 1.338816402
Jan-93 22.37419 18.64720413 4.64730572 0.082667722
Feb-93 23.14702 18.68016934 2.370240333 2.07563748
Mar-93 26.39383 19.50783333 1.138780981 4.403707853
Apr-93 17.08054 21.26333602 -2.661935513 -0.388938001
May-93 12.89027 21.10833707 -2.947902721 -5.668078417
Jun-93 16.75369 18.84999905 1.471812214 -1.381109694
Jul-93 13.94117 18.29975299 -0.152692852 -3.561640327
Aug-93 15.87771 16.88055209 -0.104313632 -1.054842715
Sep-93 15.36926 16.46007016 -4.413217197 2.988357875
Oct-93 16.96058 17.66968142 -3.288212977 2.356400464
Nov-93 18.82447 18.61981531 -1.309606614 0.944427377
Dec-93 21.38893 19.00080969 5.249742257 -4.445397764
Jan-94 29.53374 17.20612057 4.64730572 8.733772847
Feb-94 26.16926 20.73322059 2.370240333 2.594728953
Mar-94 17.4361 21.78105344 1.138780981 -7.783983154
Apr-94 16.97289 18.63826602 -2.661935513 1.913068584
May-94 12.3694 19.41049815 -2.947902721 -3.873057833
Jun-94 18.23044 17.84733257 1.471812214 1.329392555
Jul-94 20.5469 18.38385694 -0.152692852 3.59001144
Aug-94 16.24546 19.83290023 -0.104313632 -3.303204471
Sep-94 12.04843 18.4992499 -4.413217197 -2.555685193
Oct-94 14.07329 17.45582125 -3.288212977 -0.453672005
Nov-94 19.2489 17.27111612 -1.309606614 2.688031983
Dec-94 20.74818 18.36592755 5.249742257 -3.809770528
Jan-95 26.17259 16.81336605 4.64730572 4.762646128
Feb-95 21.09096 18.75469269 2.370240333 -1.085650312
Mar-95 20.70214 18.31217927 1.138780981 -0.268309977
Apr-95 18.69618 18.20283215 -2.661935513 3.765986103
May-95 19.32279 19.7373701 -2.947902721 3.129177689
Jun-95 24.0586 21.01228262 1.471812214 3.748867332
Jul-95 19.91882 22.53963965 -0.152692852 -1.837519354
Aug-95 20.14525 21.79093424 -0.104313632 -1.103439929
Sep-95 14.41548 21.34123737 -4.413217197 -2.71365154
Oct-95 17.90736 20.22587485 -3.288212977 0.824348997
Nov-95 22.14985 20.56397745 -1.309606614 2.149229593
Dec-95 32.34025 21.44574667 5.249742257 5.270160038
Jan-96 37.33029 23.60889211 4.64730572 0
Feb-96 28.09632 23.60889211 2.370240333 1.285162911
Mar-96 24.06193 24.24569062 1.138780981 -2.653082277
Apr-96 19.81826 23.08557944 -2.661935513 -0.207161992
May-96 21.08157 22.99871015 -2.947902721 1.4014022
Jun-96 25.3321 23.57815353 1.471812214 2.04894813
Jul-96 24.71486 24.4213024 -0.152692852 1.223365704
Aug-96 25.30987 24.92391272 -0.104313632 1.055748923
Sep-96 21.30936 25.35746095 -4.413217197 0.526554076
Oct-96 22.81499 25.57509172 -3.288212977 0.466035011
Nov-96 22.08565 25.76736592 -1.309606614 -3.165990908
Dec-96 33.37434 24.46089499 5.249742257 2.907956347
Jan-97 31.59371 25.66127315 4.64730572 0.944204575
Feb-97 24.78564 26.04804024 2.370240333 -4.579327656
Mar-97 21.90197 24.15469695 1.138780981 -4.375835546
Apr-97 20.15363 22.34785624 -2.661935513 1.091498522
May-97 16.84206 22.79836408 -2.947902721 -2.602420804
Jun-97 23.86491 21.72436694 1.471812214 2.379601863
Jul-97 22.50311 22.70640518 -0.152692852 0.647667446
Aug-97 21.43534 22.97371125 -0.104313632 -0.993353451
Sep-97 14.96903 22.56367245 -4.413217197 -3.125795758
Oct-97 18.4526 21.26639548 -3.288212977 0.314022316
Nov-97 21.77757 21.39654711 -1.309606614 1.107850685
Dec-97 26.46439 21.85581165 5.249742257 -1.745328859
Jan-98 24.94751 21.13207142 4.64730572 -1.451940743
Feb-98 24.60783 20.53373926 2.370240333 1.011417556
Mar-98 24.14842 20.95371693 1.138780981 1.388345812
Apr-98 20.87773 21.52958189 -2.661935513 2.495719422
May-98 22.5176 22.56441367 -2.947902721 3.470478493
Jun-98 29.58356 24.00327596 1.471812214 5.524707249
Jul-98 21.14227 26.29381753 -0.152692852 -4.53579402
Aug-98 22.96688 24.41316165 -0.104313632 -0.916061405
Sep-98 21.06371 24.03329284 -4.413217197 1.73927763
Oct-98 18.25467 24.75775425 -3.288212977 -3.375251396
Nov-98 16.71439 23.35341152 -1.309606614 -5.931594315
Dec-98 26.78296 20.88500474 5.249742257 -0.173447655
Jan-99 32.33571 20.81280816 4.64730572 6.575702849
Feb-99 21.09442 23.53582831 2.370240333 -5.449920647
Mar-99 21.90998 21.26478196 1.138780981 -1.093130725
Apr-99 24.27056 20.80967194 -2.661935513 6.549956983
May-99 23.81475 23.53588254 -2.947902721 3.509574015
Jun-99 29.12348 24.99650839 1.471812214 3.473756711
Jul-99 28.93194 26.44222599 -0.152692852 3.240930224
Aug-99 23.88661 27.79111621 -0.104313632 -3.470354741
Sep-99 20.65286 26.3465907 -4.413217197 -1.214872144
Oct-99 19.94025 25.83900909 -3.288212977 -2.588652431
Nov-99 18.58512 24.75845138 -1.309606614 -4.954245292
Dec-99 22.00326 22.69012627 5.249742257 -6.520375623
Jan-00 26.25357 19.96741986 4.64730572 1.042379433
Feb-00 25.23988 20.40080432 2.370240333 2.395858207
Mar-00 23.01167 21.40218425 1.138780981 0.169168086
Apr-00 24.63007 21.4728366 -2.661935513 5.934337353
May-00 25.74623 23.95069587 -2.947902721 4.749710662
Jun-00 33.66186 25.93377965 1.471812214 6.670614512
Jul-00 29.69471 28.71887157 -0.152692852 1.198931848
Aug-00 30.03586 29.21946795 -0.104313632 1.202427786
Sep-00 21.90383 29.72156765 -4.413217197 -3.469920595
Oct-00 23.92658 28.26801271 -3.288212977 -0.975150129
Nov-00 27.37656 27.859841 -1.309606614 1.057796104
Dec-00 37.59103 28.30266532 5.249742257 0
Jan-01 24.76589 28.30266532 4.64730572 -8.593755131
Feb-01 27.33524 23.97398188 2.370240333 1.09498914
Mar-01 24.85218 24.46255416 1.138780981 -0.745847416
Apr-01 20.80052 24.1436073 -2.661935513 -0.683434078
May-01 18.59185 23.85542311 -2.947902721 -2.454626377
Jun-01 24.86393 22.82520741 1.471812214 0.59432158
Jul-01 21.94491 23.07425352 -0.152692852 -1.056371777
Aug-01 23.90744 22.63181871 -0.104313632 1.454984499

Note: The first panel shows the observed series and the fitted trend, the second shows the seasonal component and the third shows the irregular or residual component.