Table 12 - Temporal Transferability Results of the 1984 Models in the 1996/97 Files

Table 12 - Temporal Transferability Results of the 1984 Models in the 1996/97 Files

Excel | CSV

TEL AVIV REGRESSION Haifa data Tel Aviv data
1984 Tel Aviv model 1996/97
Tel Aviv model
Actual 1984 Tel Aviv model 1996/97
Tel Aviv model
Actual
Average trips per person per day 1.76 1.94 2.07 1.92 2.06 2.07
Negative estimations 545 1,464
Minimum trip rate −0.40 0.37 0 −0.40 0.16 0
Maximum trip rate 4.04 3.67 11 4.04 3.80 11
Total 8,850 9,748 10,414 30,190 32,341 32,455
Difference between model estimation and actual values (%) −15.01 −6.4 −6.98 −0.35
Standard deviation 1.27 0.91 2.07 1.28 0.92 1.99

HAIFA REGRESSION 1984 Tel Aviv model 1996/97
Tel Aviv model
Actual 1984 Tel Aviv model 1996/97
Tel Aviv model
Actual
Average trips per person per day 21.30 2.08 2.07 2.31 22.20 2.07
Negative estimations 0 0 0
Minimum trip rate 0.11 0.16 0 0.11 0.16 0
Maximum trip rate 4.49 3.89 11 4.49 4.28 11
Total 10,710 10,450 10,414 36,287 34,788 32,455
Difference between model estimation and actual values (%) 2.84 0.35 11.80 7.19
Standard deviation 1.34 1.00 2.07 1.35 1.01 1.99

TEL AVIV TOBIT 1984 Tel Aviv model 1996/97
Tel Aviv model
Actual 1984 Tel Aviv model 1996/97
Tel Aviv model
Actual
Average trips per person per day 1.83 1.92 2.07 2.06 1.98 2.07
Minimum trip rate 0 0 0 0 0 0
Maximum trip rate 4.86 4.30 11 4.41 4.84 11
Total 9,203 9,671 10,414 32,363 31,155 32,455
Difference between model estimation and actual values (%) −11.60 −7.12 0.28 −4.00
Standard deviation 1.58 1.28 2.07 1.30 1.61 1.99

HAIFA TOBIT 1984 Tel Aviv model 1996/97
Tel Aviv model
Actual 1984 Tel Aviv model 1996/97
Tel Aviv model
Actual
Average trips per person per day 2.39 2.03 2.07 2.22 2.32 2.07
Minimum trip rate 0 0 0 0 0 0
Maximum trip rate 5.20 4.57 11 5.05 5.20 11
Total 12,036 10,184 10,414 34,796 36,381 32,455
Difference between model estimation and actual values (%) 15.58 2.20 7.22 12.09
Standard deviation 1.28 1.42 2.07 1.43 1.75 1.99