Table 12 - Temporal Transferability Results of the 1984 Models in the 1996/97 Files
Table 12 - Temporal Transferability Results of the 1984 Models in the 1996/97 Files
| TEL AVIV REGRESSION | Haifa data | Tel Aviv data | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1984 Tel Aviv model | 1996/97 Tel Aviv model |
Actual | 1984 Tel Aviv model | 1996/97 Tel Aviv model |
Actual | |
| Average trips per person per day | 1.76 | 1.94 | 2.07 | 1.92 | 2.06 | 2.07 |
| Negative estimations | 545 | – | – | 1,464 | – | – |
| Minimum trip rate | −0.40 | 0.37 | 0 | −0.40 | 0.16 | 0 |
| Maximum trip rate | 4.04 | 3.67 | 11 | 4.04 | 3.80 | 11 |
| Total | 8,850 | 9,748 | 10,414 | 30,190 | 32,341 | 32,455 |
| Difference between model estimation and actual values (%) | −15.01 | −6.4 | – | −6.98 | −0.35 | – |
| Standard deviation | 1.27 | 0.91 | 2.07 | 1.28 | 0.92 | 1.99 |
| HAIFA REGRESSION | 1984 Tel Aviv model | 1996/97 Tel Aviv model |
Actual | 1984 Tel Aviv model | 1996/97 Tel Aviv model |
Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average trips per person per day | 21.30 | 2.08 | 2.07 | 2.31 | 22.20 | 2.07 |
| Negative estimations | 0 | 0 | – | – | 0 | – |
| Minimum trip rate | 0.11 | 0.16 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 0 |
| Maximum trip rate | 4.49 | 3.89 | 11 | 4.49 | 4.28 | 11 |
| Total | 10,710 | 10,450 | 10,414 | 36,287 | 34,788 | 32,455 |
| Difference between model estimation and actual values (%) | 2.84 | 0.35 | – | 11.80 | 7.19 | – |
| Standard deviation | 1.34 | 1.00 | 2.07 | 1.35 | 1.01 | 1.99 |
| TEL AVIV TOBIT | 1984 Tel Aviv model | 1996/97 Tel Aviv model |
Actual | 1984 Tel Aviv model | 1996/97 Tel Aviv model |
Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average trips per person per day | 1.83 | 1.92 | 2.07 | 2.06 | 1.98 | 2.07 |
| Minimum trip rate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maximum trip rate | 4.86 | 4.30 | 11 | 4.41 | 4.84 | 11 |
| Total | 9,203 | 9,671 | 10,414 | 32,363 | 31,155 | 32,455 |
| Difference between model estimation and actual values (%) | −11.60 | −7.12 | – | 0.28 | −4.00 | – |
| Standard deviation | 1.58 | 1.28 | 2.07 | 1.30 | 1.61 | 1.99 |
| HAIFA TOBIT | 1984 Tel Aviv model | 1996/97 Tel Aviv model |
Actual | 1984 Tel Aviv model | 1996/97 Tel Aviv model |
Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average trips per person per day | 2.39 | 2.03 | 2.07 | 2.22 | 2.32 | 2.07 |
| Minimum trip rate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Maximum trip rate | 5.20 | 4.57 | 11 | 5.05 | 5.20 | 11 |
| Total | 12,036 | 10,184 | 10,414 | 34,796 | 36,381 | 32,455 |
| Difference between model estimation and actual values (%) | 15.58 | 2.20 | – | 7.22 | 12.09 | – |
| Standard deviation | 1.28 | 1.42 | 2.07 | 1.43 | 1.75 | 1.99 |